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Clinton, Obama neck and neck

February 3, 2008

in Barack Obama, Democrats, GOP, Hillary Clinton, politics

Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are in a statistical dead heat, heading into the Super Tuesday primaries and caucuses.

National polling for The Washington Post and ABC News shows 47% of Democrats likely to vote on Tuesday back Clinton, while 43% favor Obama. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points.

Perhaps more significant is the finding that the belief Clinton has the best shot of winning the White House has shriveled, with 47% believing that, but 42% now saying Obama is most electable.

Among Republicans and Independents who are leaning toward the GOP, John McCain has a commanding lead over his nearest rival, Mitt Romney. The poll shows McCain with 48% and Romney 24%. Among moderate and liberal Republicans, McCain leads Romney by a breathtaking 51%. The GOP polling has a margin of error of plus or minus five percentage points.

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{ 10 comments… read them below or add one }

1 rhbee February 3, 2008 at 11:00 am

Take a look at this post from jtaplin. wordpress. com /2008/02/02/change-is-in-the-air/ and tell me what you think.

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2 ellaella February 3, 2008 at 11:08 am

I think it’s wonderful! After Iowa, nothing will surprise me, not even that big Obama crowd in Idaho.

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3 Roads February 3, 2008 at 5:28 pm

It’s good to see that Obama is still in touch. Hope is a powerful message, and it feels increasingly like time for a new broom to sweep away the debris of the past.

Goodness knows, with Tony Blair now intent on standing for a newly-empowered position as President of Europe, according to The Guardian this weekend, we might all need someone with their feet firmly on the ground in The White House…

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4 Roads February 3, 2008 at 6:20 pm

So. Farewell then
Hillary’s lead in the polls

“Don’t mention the War”
That was Basil Fawlty’s most famous line

And soon you may wish
It had been one of
Barack Obama’s
Catch phrases
Too.

With apologies to:
EJ Thribb (aged 17 1/2)

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5 ellaella February 3, 2008 at 6:35 pm

Roads- Hello! Did I read that Guardian piece correctly? The president of France is backing a Brit? Something’s in the air in Iowa, France…wow.

Love your ditty! The catchphrase for Rudy Giuliani and John Edwards now is — “I’m free!” (with apologies to the memory of the late, brilliant John Inman.)

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6 rhbee February 3, 2008 at 8:08 pm

Just got back from the Y where during my bike workout I watched Maria Schrieber Swarzenegger lead a Barack Obama voter’s rally in California. What the hell is happening?

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7 Brightfeather February 3, 2008 at 8:15 pm

As a Canadian left winger I suppose I have no right to chime in. Nevertheless, everyone I know is praying for Barach Obama to be elected.

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8 ellaella February 3, 2008 at 9:04 pm

rhbee – She’s a Kennedy and she’s on the Kennedy bandwagon. Most are, except for a few of Bobby’s kids who buried Hillary’s Iraq votes in their announcements. And maybe (cynic alert) they see which way the wind is blowing…

brightfeather – Of course you can chime in. We strongarm Canada all the time. :( I hope their prayers are answered. Barry!

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9 Roads February 4, 2008 at 10:17 am

Yes, remarkable as it may seem, the President of France is barking (sorry I mean backing Tony Blair for President of Europe.

It’s a toss-up which is frankly the more challengingly impossible task for Sarkozy – sorting out a morass of French bureaucracy and union excesses, or convincing an indignant Europe that they should now elect as their leader a man who chose to ignore all their wise counsel on Iraq, thereby endangering the lives of most of their citizens as a result.

Blair plays well in the US, much like Bill Clinton does here in the UK, but he doesn’t travel so well in Europe. But he does speak French.

Presumably, if you are going to have the bare-faced cheek to stick two fingers up at your closest neighbour on the world stage and then ask them for a personal favour in return, you had better do this is their own language.

Vraiment, vous ne pourriez pas ecrire le script, messieurs….

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10 ellaella February 4, 2008 at 11:52 am

We have a saying here that politics makes for strange bedfellows and we see it over and over, usually in the name of expediency. Still, it’s a bit startling to see Blair and Sarkozy sharing a duvet.

I notice the allied deaths went up by 2 or 3 in the Iraq widget on the last update and we’re disgustingly close to 4,000 US military deaths. I’ll just let the numbers speak for themselves, while I remind myself which Democrat running for president voted to authorize this war.

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