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Obama nomination within reach

May 21, 2008

in Barack Obama, Democrats, Hillary Clinton, politics

“We have returned to Iowa with a majority of delegates elected by the American people, and you have put us within reach of the Democratic nomination for president of the United States of America.”

Senator Barack Obama’s words last night, outside the Capitol in Des Moines. It was a fitting return; January’s Iowa caucuses catapulted his campaign.

As expected, he lost Kentucky to Hillary Clinton. She won with 65% of the vote, a landslide. He took Oregon by a comfortable margin, 58% to 42%.

Three primaries remain — Puerto Rico June 1 and Montana and South Dakota June 3 — and Obama campaign estimates indicate if he just holds his own he would need the votes of only 25 of the remaining 221 undeclared superdelegates. Here’s how the counts stack up, as shown in The New York Times.

Graphic chart showing elected delegates and pledged superdelegates for Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton as of May 21 2008

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{ 4 comments… read them below or add one }

1 Blue Smoke of Paradise May 21, 2008 at 12:31 pm

My concern about the way this is playing out is the obvious: he is taking the transparently liberal states, and she is winning the moderate states.

He is going to have to get a strong moderate for the VP slot . . . Liebermanesque, almost. Hopefully, not that far afield.

Also wouldn’t be surprised if McCain asked Joe to be his running mate.

Oy. Oy. Oy.

Blue Smoke of Paradise’s last blog post..Mind Demons

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2 ellaella May 21, 2008 at 7:32 pm

Oy, John and Joe on the same ticket? The Straight Talk Express would be renamed the Grey Hair Express. :)

Seriously, I share your concern but I’m encouraged by a new Zogby poll that finds Obama with a 10 percentage point lead over McCain among likely voters and a broad willingness of Democrats to vote for him. That flies in the face of exit poll results generally showing only half (or fewer) Clinton supporters would vote for him.

I wrote about it on Barry! if you’re interested.

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3 Gentledove May 24, 2008 at 7:53 pm

Hi, it’s not just a return curtesy, I’ve been here before, but thanx 4 your comment, I am more interested than u might expect in US politics, here I support labour so I ought to b an autodem but well, I really don’t like this Obama, and well even if u have 2 admire HC 4 a scrapper, so I am kind of lost on the arguments. Love the yanks as I do, I’m glad I’m not one in this election.

Gentledove’s last blog post..Wookey hole

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4 ellaella May 24, 2008 at 8:49 pm

You don’t have to be an Obama fan, gentledove. All points of view are welcome here. Heck, I don’t believe in royalty but that doesn’t stop me from visiting the UK. :)

Good to see you…and you might enjoy a post here called Letter From London, about how our elections look to one Brit.

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